ECI

US heading for shallow recession, no respite yet from rate hikes: Reuters poll

US heading for shallow recession, no respite yet from rate hikes: Reuters poll

BENGALURU, Dec 9 (Reuters) – The U.S. economy is heading for a short and shallow recession over the coming year, according to economists polled by Reuters who unanimously expected the Federal Reserve to US opts for a lower interest rate hike of 50 basis points in December. 14. The Fed still has at least half …

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The US service industry is picking up;  factory orders are accelerating

The US service industry is picking up; factory orders are accelerating

Activity in the services sector picks up in November Employment rebounds; supplier deliveries are improving Factory orders rise 1.0% in October WASHINGTON, Dec 5 (Reuters) – U.S. service-sector activity unexpectedly accelerated in November, with employment rebounding, offering further evidence of underlying economic dynamics. economy as it prepares for an anticipated recession next year. Monday’s Institute …

The US service industry is picking up; factory orders are accelerating Read More »

US job growth likely slowed further in November;  labor market still tight

US job growth likely slowed further in November; labor market still tight

Non-farm payrolls forecast to increase by 200,000 in November Unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7% Average hourly wage forecast up 0.3%; up 4.6% year-on-year WASHINGTON, Dec 2 (Reuters) – U.S. job growth was likely the weakest in nearly two years in November as growing fears of a recession dampened demand for labor, which could give the …

US job growth likely slowed further in November; labor market still tight Read More »

US weekly jobless claims at 3-month high;  resilient capital expenditure

US weekly jobless claims at 3-month high; resilient capital expenditure

Weekly jobless claims increase from 17,000 to 240,000 Continuing claims rise by 48,000 to 1.551 million Core capital goods orders rebound 0.7% in October Shipments of basic capital goods jump 1.3% WASHINGTON, Nov 23 (Reuters) – The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits hit a three-month high last week amid rising tech …

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The Fed will raise rates by 50 basis points, but the key rate could be higher

The Fed will raise rates by 50 basis points, but the key rate could be higher

BENGALURU, Nov 18 (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve will downgrade in December to propose a 50 basis point interest rate hike, but economists polled by Reuters say a longer period of U.S. central bank tightening and a higher policy rate peak are the biggest risks to the current outlook. U.S. consumer price inflation unexpectedly fell …

The Fed will raise rates by 50 basis points, but the key rate could be higher Read More »

US retail sales increase steadily;  increase in GDP estimates in the fourth quarter

US retail sales increase steadily; increase in GDP estimates in the fourth quarter

Retail sales rise 1.3% in October Core retail sales increase 0.7%; September sales revised upwards Import prices fall for the fourth consecutive month Manufacturing production increased by 0.1%; previous months revised downwards WASHINGTON, Nov 16 (Reuters) – U.S. retail sales rose more than expected in October as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and …

US retail sales increase steadily; increase in GDP estimates in the fourth quarter Read More »